Match Info

National League - Round 33

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Hartlepool United		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.4
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	2.02	3.45	3.35
	2.03	3.61	3.55
	2.09	3.5	3.28	Watch
	2	3.3	3.3
	1.96	3.38	3.41
	1.95	3.66	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.98)	3.46 ↑ (3.37)	3.4 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
46.3%

Draw
26.6%

Sutton United
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Hartlepool United - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Sutton will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartlepool: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hayes N. (G) 2. Benn J. 5. Kouogun M. 4. Parkes T. (C) 3. John C. 14. Sheron N. 19. Reid A. 18. Miley J. 28. Daly M. 10. Campbell A. 37. Sinclair T.	1. Sims J. (G) 50. Donkor K. 28. Jennings K. 14. Pruti E. (C) 39. Topalloj B. 42. Muller H. 26. Eccleston J. 8. Simper L. 34. Njoku B. 48. Francis J. 29. Foyo O.
Substitutes
35. Caton C. 17. Folarin S. 7. Holohan G. 15. Hunter J. 39. Okike C. 27. Oliver V. 40. Smith A. (G)	37. Bell C. 47. Eze D. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 23. Harris J. J. 10. Nadesan A. 18. Ogbonna D. 9. Rodari D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 0 - 1, Foyo O. ⚽, Jennings K. (A),
64', Daly M. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
65', Campbell A. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
65', Francis J. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
70', Foyo O. ↓, Nadesan A. ↑,
73', Reid A. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
80', Njoku B. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
80', John C. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
80', Sinclair T. ↓, Okike C. ↑,
80', Simper L. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Jennings K. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 9 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hartlepool might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.7:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Sutton	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
25.02.26	Hartlepool United - Carlisle United	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Solihull Moors - Hartlepool United	3:4 ✺
11.02.26	York City - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Tamworth - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hartlepool United - Aldershot Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLTL
- Sutton United
English National League
28.02.26	Halifax Town - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Yeovil Town - Sutton United	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Sutton United - Wealdstone	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Sutton United - Woking	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Sutton United - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.10.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	3:3
08.02.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	1:2
05.10.24	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	4:3
English League Two
11.02.23	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	2:2
17.09.22	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	2:0
19.02.22	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	1:1
14.09.21	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	1:0

Hartlepool United - Sutton United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide