Match Info

National League - Round 33

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	16:45	DAZN
Australia	06:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belarus	22:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	DAZN
Brazil	16:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:45	DAZN
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	14:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hong Kong	03:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
India	01:15	DAZN
Indonesia	02:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	DAZN
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
Malaysia	03:45	DAZN
Mexico	13:45	DAZN
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:45	DAZN
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Norway	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	16:45	DAZN
Philippines	03:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Russia	22:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
South Africa	21:45	DAZN
South Korea	04:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	DAZN
Thailand	02:45	DAZN
Ukraine	21:45	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	23:45	DAZN
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	DAZN
Usa	14:45	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	00:45	DAZN
Venezuela	15:45	DAZN
Vietnam	02:45	DAZN


	Hartlepool United		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.4
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	2.02	3.45	3.35
	2.03	3.61	3.55
	2.09	3.5	3.28	Watch
	2	3.3	3.3
	1.96	3.38	3.41
	1.95	3.66	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.98)	3.46 ↑ (3.37)	3.4 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
46.3%

Draw
26.6%

Sutton United
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Hartlepool United - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Sutton will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartlepool: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hayes N. (G) 2. Benn J. 5. Kouogun M. 4. Parkes T. (C) 3. John C. 14. Sheron N. 19. Reid A. 18. Miley J. 28. Daly M. 10. Campbell A. 37. Sinclair T.	1. Sims J. (G) 50. Donkor K. 28. Jennings K. 14. Pruti E. (C) 39. Topalloj B. 42. Muller H. 26. Eccleston J. 8. Simper L. 34. Njoku B. 48. Francis J. 29. Foyo O.
Substitutes
35. Caton C. 17. Folarin S. 7. Holohan G. 15. Hunter J. 39. Okike C. 27. Oliver V. 40. Smith A. (G)	37. Bell C. 47. Eze D. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 23. Harris J. J. 10. Nadesan A. 18. Ogbonna D. 9. Rodari D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 0 - 1, Foyo O. ⚽, Jennings K. (A),
64', Daly M. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
65', Campbell A. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
65', Francis J. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
70', Foyo O. ↓, Nadesan A. ↑,
73', Reid A. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
80', Njoku B. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
80', John C. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
80', Sinclair T. ↓, Okike C. ↑,
80', Simper L. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Jennings K. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 9 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hartlepool might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.7:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sutton	15	6	3	6	17:21	-4	21
20	Hartlepool	15	5	0	10	15:23	-8	15

Outrights of English National League for now

Sutton: 0.72% Hartlepool: 0.72%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
25.02.26	Hartlepool United - Carlisle United	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Solihull Moors - Hartlepool United	3:4 ✺
11.02.26	York City - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Tamworth - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hartlepool United - Aldershot Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLTL
- Sutton United
English National League
28.02.26	Halifax Town - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Yeovil Town - Sutton United	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Sutton United - Wealdstone	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Sutton United - Woking	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Sutton United - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.10.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	3:3
08.02.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	1:2
05.10.24	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	4:3
English League Two
11.02.23	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	2:2
17.09.22	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	2:0
19.02.22	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	1:1
14.09.21	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	1:0

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