The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Suwon Bluewings 43.8%
Draw 29.5%
Busan I Park 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
27.2%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
29.2%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suwon Bluewings, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Suwon Bluewings - Busan I Park Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Kim J. (G) 27. Lee Geon-hee 20. Hong Jeong-Ho 5. Ko Jong-hyun 23. Kim Min-Woo 17. Kang Hyun-Muk 24. Ko Seung-Beom 14. Jung Ho-yeon 99. Kim Do-yeon 10. Reis 9. Ilyuchenko S.
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 5. Woo Ju-Seong 77. Jang Ho-Ik 20. Kim Hee-Seung 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 66. Kim Se-Hoon 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 6. Lee Dong-Su 88. Park Hye-seong 7. Xavier 99. Cristian Renato
Substitutes
58. Bruno Costa 77. Kim Ji-Hyun 1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 19. Kim Seong-Ju 6. Lim Ji-hoon 3. Mo Kyung-bin 33. Park Dae-Won 16. Park Hyun-Bin 11. Paulo Henrique
18. Baek Ga-On 44. Choi Dong-ryeol 10. Gabriel Honorio 80. Gutemberg 21. Kim Dong-Wook 13. Kim Hyun-Min 4. Kim J. 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 97. Son J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Kang Hyun-Muk 🟨,
31', Jang Ho-Ik 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Kim Do-yeon (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Xavier ↓, Gabriel Honorio ↑,
46', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
49', Lee Dong-Su 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Kang Hyun-Muk ⚽, Ko Jong-hyun (A),
62', Kim Do-yeon ↓, Bruno Costa ↑,
62', Kang Hyun-Muk ↓, Kim Seong-Ju ↑,
63', Park Hye-seong ↓, Kim Hyun-Min ↑,
63', Lee Dong-Su ↓, Son J. ↑,
65', Ko Jong-hyun 🟨,
68', Gabriel Honorio 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Kim Hee-Seung ⚽,
72', Kim J. 🟨,
74', Ko Seung-Beom ↓, Park Hyun-Bin ↑,
74', Ilyuchenko S. ↓, Kim Ji-Hyun ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Kim J. (Own goal),
85', Kim Min-Hyeok ↓, Kim J. ↑,
86', Lee Geon-hee ↓, Lee Jun-Jae ↑,
90+14', 3 - 2, Reis (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon Bluewings won 1.
Suwon Bluewings is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Busan I Park is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Suwon Bluewings might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon Bluewings won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Suwon Bluewings won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Suwon Bluewings
25
16
5
4
39:20
19
53
6
Busan
26
12
5
9
41:34
7
41
Last Results with these Odds
Suwon Bluewings - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.24%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.