Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Suzhou Olympic Sports Centre (Suzhou)


	Suzhou Dongwu		Dandong Tengyue

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.8	2.82	2.81
	2.62	3.1	2.7
	2.6	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.33)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	2.65 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
34.4%

Draw
30.9%

Dandong Tengyue
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

29.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Suzhou Dongwu's form might have worsened.

Dandong Tengyue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suzhou Dongwu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandong Tengyue than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandong Tengyue, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Suzhou Dongwu - Dandong Tengyue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Li Xinyu (G) 5. Hu Mingfei (C) 27. Liu Hao 2. Wang Xijie 24. Xie Xiaofan 18. Liang Weipeng 29. Xu T. 10. Zhang Lingfeng. 9. Xu Chunqing 6. Dong H. 20. Men Yang	12. Han Zhen (G) 5. Qiu Tianyi 18. Li Xiaoting (C) 7. Zhang Liang 24. Sherzat N. 28. Lu Yuefeng 4. Yao Diran 8. Gao Haisheng 37. Brown T. 9. Kovacevic M. 11. Zimin Nuali
Substitutes
19. Adil Abdulla 44. Delgado P. 28. Gao D. 42. Shi Yucheng 22. Tan J. 7. Wu Lei 3. Yao Ben 30. Yuan Z. 33. Yu B. 8. Yu Longyun 23. Zhang Jingyi (G) 11. Zhang Jingzhe	44. Abdukerim Qaharman 21. Dong Kaining 23. Dujardin R. 38. Hu M. 27. Liao Haochuan 17. Liao Wei 40. Liu Zhizhi 43. Zhang Jialun 22. Zhang Yinuo (G)
Coaches
Hongli N.	Wei S.

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Suzhou Dongwu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dandong Tengyue is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Suzhou Dongwu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Suzhou Dongwu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
13.09.23	Wuxi Wugou - Suzhou Dongwu	4:1 ✺
09.09.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Suzhou Dongwu	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Dandong Tengyue
Chinese Jia League
13.09.23	Dandong Tengyue - Qingdao West Coast	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Dandong Tengyue - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Dandong Tengyue	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Liaoning Tieren - Dandong Tengyue	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Dandong Tengyue - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
11.06.23	Dandong Tengyue - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1

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