Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Suzhou Olympic Sports Centre (Suzhou)


	Suzhou Dongwu		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.17	4.03	1.5
	6.5	3.5	1.5
	6.85	3.94	1.48
	6.4	3.9	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.73 ↑ (2.86)	3.84 ↑ (3.2)	1.49 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
13.7%

Draw
24%

Shenzhen Peng City
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

28.2%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Suzhou Dongwu's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Peng City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suzhou Dongwu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Li Xinyu (G) 27. Liu Hao 2. Wang Xijie 14. Huang Jiajun 24. Xie Xiaofan 7. Wu Lei 29. Xu T. 4. Gu W. 8. Yu Longyun 30. Yuan Z. 19. Adil Abdulla	20. Zhao Shi (G) 4. Wang Qiao 15. Yu Rui 5. Song Yue 26. Egbuchulam C. 33. Zhu Baojie 21. Nan Song 28. Zhang Yudong 16. Li Zhi 11. Garcia E. 27. Abduweli Behram
Substitutes
6. Dong H. 28. Gao D. 25. Guo Jiawei (G) 15. Hu H. 18. Liang Weipeng 39. Ren J. 22. Tan J. 9. Xu Chunqing 3. Yao Ben 33. Yu B. 23. Zhang Jingyi (G) 10. Zhang Lingfeng.	25. Abdukerim O. 35. Chen Fangzhou 6. Chen Yi 22. Jin Shang 39. Li Bowen 37. Liu Yujie 1. Li Zhizhao (G) 40. Ma Canjie 18. Muhta Muzapar 32. Song Chen 17. Wang Qi 23. Xia Dalong
Coaches
Hongli N.	Tato J.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suzhou Dongwu won 1.

Suzhou Dongwu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sichuan Jiuniu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sichuan Jiuniu is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Suzhou Dongwu won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Suzhou Dongwu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
02.09.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Suzhou Dongwu	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLLT
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
02.09.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	2:3 ✺
26.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
20.08.23	Dandong Tengyue - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
28.05.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1
08.12.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:1
11.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1
21.12.21	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2
07.12.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0
Chinese Yi League
26.07.19	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0
20.04.19	Shenzhen Peng City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:2

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