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Current Win Probability
Svay Rieng 51.8%
Draw 23%
Naga World 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.4%
22%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
20.7%
13.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Svay Rieng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Svay Rieng's form might have worsened.
Naga World has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naga World's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Svay Rieng than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Svay Rieng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naga World than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naga World, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Svay Rieng - Naga World Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Sang H. (G) 22. Chantha C. 16. Kim S. 45. Narong K. 7. Prak Mony U. (C) 19. Seut B. 9. Sieng C. 21. Silveira C. 35. Sophal D. 29. Soun S. 14. Sovan D.
18. Thouth S. (G) 2. Chea S. 25. China 20. Luquinha 75. Mateus Martins 9. Minagawa Y. 79. Sokha P. 12. Sos S. (C) 8. Vann T. 17. Wisney 45. Zogbe A.
Substitutes
18. Aim S. (G) 1. Kendeth S. (G) 11. Min R. 30. Nhean S. 8. Ogawa Y. 98. Patrick 46. Peprah K. 12. Poy V. 13. Sareth K. 5. Soeuy V.
4. Chhong B. 16. Choeun N. 5. Hout V. 19. Im S. O. 6. It S. 10. Kouch S. 7. Nen S. 29. Phoy P. 21. Ret K. 22. Usarphea S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, China ⚽, Wisney (A),
36', Luquinha 🟨,
40', Sovan D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kim S. ↓, Ogawa Y. ↑,
46', Sieng C. ↓, Sareth K. ↑,
46', Zogbe A. ↓, Nen S. ↑,
66', Vann T. 🟨,
72', Prak Mony U. ↓, Peprah K. ↑,
72', Soun S. ↓, Soeuy V. ↑,
75', Chea S. ↓, Hout V. ↑,
80', Narong K. 🟨,
83', Sovan D. 🟨,
84', Narong K. ↓, Nhean S. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Peprah K. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Luquinha ↓, Im S. O. ↑,
Preview
Svay Rieng is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League 2
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svay Rieng won 4.
Svay Rieng is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Naga World has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Svay Rieng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Svay Rieng is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Svay Rieng will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Svay Rieng won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:13. (average 2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Svay Rieng won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:9. (average 2.4:1).
Cambodia
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Sang H. (G) 
Silveira C. 
Minagawa Y. 
Peprah K. 
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