Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE CUP

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Swansea City U21		Brighton & Hove Albion U21

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.45
	2.35	3.75	2.45
	2.4	4.06	2.53
	2.3	3.84	2.46
	2.35	3.75	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.82)	3.78 (3.78)	2.47 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City U21
39%

Draw
24.1%

Brighton & Hove Albion U21
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

24%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.9%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City U21's performance.

Brighton & Hove Albion U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brighton & Hove Albion U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City U21 than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swansea City U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion U21 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brighton & Hove Albion U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Swansea U21 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brighton & Hove U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brighton & Hove U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brighton & Hove U21 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Swansea U21 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Swansea U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City U21
English Professional Development League
02.10.23	Swansea City U21 - Watford U21	4:4 ✺
English Premier League Cup
29.09.23	Swansea City U21 - Hull City U21	4:0 ✺
English Professional Development League
25.09.23	Queens Park Rangers U21 - Swansea City U21	3:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.09.23	Swansea City U21 - Cardiff City U21	2:1 penalties ✺
English Professional Development League
12.09.23	Coventry City U21 - Swansea City U21	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLWW
- Brighton & Hove Albion U21
English Premier League International Cup
04.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Valencia B	3:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.09.23	Derby County U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Newcastle United U21	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Shrewsbury Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:0 penalties ✺
English Premier League Cup
15.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Aston Villa U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League U21
07.12.15	Swansea City U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	4:0
17.08.15	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Swansea City U21	0:1

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