Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday

Location: Moor Farm Training Centre (Derby)

Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)


	Derby County U21		Brighton & Hove Albion U21

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.44
	5	5	1.44
	4.58	5.4	1.53
	5.5	4.75	1.41	Watch
	5	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↓ (5.17)	4.83 ↓ (5)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County U21
18.3%

Draw
19%

Brighton & Hove Albion U21
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

18.1%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

17.7%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Brighton & Hove Albion U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion U21 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Derby County U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Evans H. (G) 2. Moore C. 5. Radcliffe B. (C) 6. Cox D. 3. Jeffcott H. 4. Johnson B. 8. Fapetu A. 7. Richards C. P. 10. Weston T. 11. Moloney R. 9. Brown D.	1. Cahill K. (G) 2. McConville R. 4. Jackson B. 5. Kavanagh L. 3. Slater J. 7. Baker-Boaitey B. 6. Hinchy J. 8. Chouchane S. 11. Barrington L. 9. O'Mahony M. 10. Mullins J.
Substitutes
14. Bates J. 15. Gibson-Hammond A. 12. Lindsay J. C. 13. Ridd L. (G) 16. Wheeldon L.	13. Ferdinand L. 15. Flower L. 14. Ifill M. 12. Nilsson C. 16. Peart B.
Coaches
Buxton J.	Ruth S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby U21 won 3.

Derby U21 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brighton & Hove U21 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Derby U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brighton & Hove U21 is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Derby U21 won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Derby U21 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County U21
English Premier League 2
25.09.23	Sunderland U21 - Derby County U21	3:1 ✺
01.09.23	Aston Villa U21 - Derby County U21	3:1 ✺
25.08.23	Derby County U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	0:2 ✺
18.08.23	Derby County U21 - Liverpool U21	1:1 ✺
14.08.23	Leicester City U21 - Derby County U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLTL
- Brighton & Hove Albion U21
English Premier League 2
23.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Newcastle United U21	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Shrewsbury Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:0 penalties ✺
English Premier League Cup
15.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Aston Villa U21	2:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
01.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	1:0 ✺
25.08.23	Everton U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League Cup
19.12.22	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Derby County U21	1:2
18.11.22	Derby County U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:1
English Premier League U21
22.02.16	Derby County U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	2:2
19.10.15	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Derby County U21	0:4
25.02.15	Derby County U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	2:1
15.09.14	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Derby County U21	1:0

Derby County U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide