Match Info

Date: 20 February 2021, Saturday


	Swarovski Tirol		St. Pölten

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.33	3.8	Watch
	1.75	4.25	3.75	Watch
	1.77	4.2	3.6
	1.73	4.1	4
	1.76	4.67	4.05
	1.83	3.8	3.8
	1.77	4.15	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.79)	4.21 ↑ (3.95)	3.87 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swarovski Tirol
53.3%

Draw
22.3%

St. Pölten
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

19.3%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swarovski Tirol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pölten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	18.5%	25.9%

Swarovski Tirol - St. Pölten Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). St. Pölten will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swarovski Tirol: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Tipico Bundesliga (Championship Group) and 9 in the zone Tipico Bundesliga (Relegation Group)).

Wattens Tirol has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

St. Pölten has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Wattens Tirol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St. Pölten is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wattens Tirol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wattens Tirol is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wattens Tirol won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Wattens Tirol won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
13.02.21	Swarovski Tirol - Red Bull Salzburg	2:4 ✺
31.01.21	Austria Wien - Swarovski Tirol	2:2 ✺
27.01.21	Swarovski Tirol - Rheindorf Altach	3:1 ✺
24.01.21	LASK Linz - Swarovski Tirol	2:4 ✺
Czech Tipsport Liga
09.01.21	Swarovski Tirol - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LTWWW
- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian Bundesliga
14.02.21	Ried - St. Pölten	1:1 ✺
10.02.21	St. Pölten - LASK Linz	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.21	St. Pölten - Wacker Innsbruck	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
31.01.21	St. Pölten - Wolfsberger	0:2 ✺
27.01.21	Rapid Wien - St. Pölten	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
07.11.20	St. Pölten - Swarovski Tirol	0:1
23.06.20	St. Pölten - Swarovski Tirol	1:1
02.06.20	Swarovski Tirol - St. Pölten	0:5
09.11.19	St. Pölten - Swarovski Tirol	5:1
11.08.19	Swarovski Tirol - St. Pölten	1:1

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