Match Info

Date: 31 January 2021, Sunday


	St. Pölten		Wolfsberger

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.75	Watch
	3.9	4.1	1.75	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.8
	3.9	3.9	1.79
	4.02	4.23	1.83
	3.9	3.9	1.8
	3.96	3.98	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.42)	3.96 ↑ (3.73)	1.79 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pölten
23.9%

Draw
23.7%

Wolfsberger
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.3%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

20.3%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pölten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Wolfsberger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wolfsberger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsberger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.1%	6.1%	87.9%

St. Pölten - Wolfsberger Predictions

Users Predictions: Wolfsberger will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Tipico Bundesliga (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Tipico Bundesliga (Championship Group)).

St. Pölten has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Wolfsberger has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

St. Pölten is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wolfsberger is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

St. Pölten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wolfsberger will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches St. Pölten won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13-31.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pölten won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian Bundesliga
27.01.21	Rapid Wien - St. Pölten	2:1 ✺
23.01.21	St. Pölten - Admira	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.21	St. Pölten - Blau-Weiss Linz	0:1 ✺
09.01.21	St. Pölten - Vorwärts Steyr	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
19.12.20	Sturm Graz - St. Pölten	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWL
- Wolfsberger AC
Club Friendly
29.01.21	Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger	5:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
27.01.21	Wolfsberger - LASK Linz	0:3 ✺
23.01.21	Wolfsberger - Hartberg	0:0 ✺
17.01.21	Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz	0:0 ✺
20.12.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
03.10.20	Wolfsberger - St. Pölten	2:4
01.03.20	St. Pölten - Wolfsberger	0:4
06.10.19	Wolfsberger - St. Pölten	4:0
12.05.19	Wolfsberger - St. Pölten	4:0
07.04.19	St. Pölten - Wolfsberger	1:3
28.10.18	Wolfsberger - St. Pölten	1:0
29.07.18	St. Pölten - Wolfsberger	4:3

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