Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 23

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange (Differdange)


	Differdange 03		Mondorf-les-Bains

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.3
	1.53	3.96	5.75
	1.52	4.06	5.49	Watch
	1.5	3.5	5.5
	1.49	3.75	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)	3.77 ↓ (3.83)	5.63 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Differdange 03
59.8%

Draw
24.1%

Mondorf-les-Bains
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Differdange 03 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mondorf-les-Bains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mondorf-les-Bains than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Differdange 03 - Mondorf les Bains Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Felipe (G) 10. Abreu A. 77. Bei G. 5. Brusco T. 4. D'Anzico K. 25. Franzoni G. (C) 66. Gomes Ricciulli J. P. 23. Hadji S. 39. Jakobi L. 55. Leandro Borges 7. Mfoumou B.	1. Machado J. (G) 8. Bourigeaud A. 32. Deher M. 19. Godart Y. 27. Holter D. (C) 6. Knoepffler A. 99. Majouga M. 70. Matias Y. 66. Steinmetz C. 18. Stoltz L. 72. Tinelli L.
Substitutes
70. Andre Mendy 8. Bruninho 9. Buch A. 11. Costa P. 1. Da Costa E. (G) 26. Mendes F. 28. Pacheco E.	21. Agovic E. (G) 10. Cervellera Y. 33. Clausse L. 9. Fournier L. 29. Kumbi J. 7. Lopes S. 31. Ubaldini A.

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 4.

Differdange 03 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mondorf has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Differdange 03 is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:15. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Differdange 03 won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:4. (average 2.3:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Differdange	8	7	0	1	19:5	14	21
3	Mondorf	8	6	0	2	16:11	5	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Differdange 03
Luxembourg National Division
22.03.26	F91 Dudelange - Differdange 03	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Differdange 03 - Hostert	3:2 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Differdange 03 - UNA Strassen	4:3 ET ✺
Luxembourg National Division
28.02.26	Jeunesse Canach - Differdange 03	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTWWT
- US Mondorf-les-Bains
Luxembourg National Division
22.03.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Jeunesse Canach	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rodange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Atert Bissen - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
28.02.26	Mamer - Mondorf-les-Bains	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
05.10.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Differdange 03	1:3
23.02.25	Differdange 03 - Mondorf-les-Bains	3:0
25.08.24	Mondorf-les-Bains - Differdange 03	0:4
03.03.24	Mondorf-les-Bains - Differdange 03	0:2
03.09.23	Differdange 03 - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:1
19.03.23	Differdange 03 - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1
18.09.22	Mondorf-les-Bains - Differdange 03	0:1

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