Match Info

Luxembourg Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange (Differdange)


	Differdange 03		Racing Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.05	5.3
	1.42	4.41	5.52
	1.59	4.06	4.63	Watch
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.58	4.24	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)	4.15 ↑ (3.81)	5.17 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Differdange 03
60.5%

Draw
21.9%

Racing Luxembourg
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

23.8%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Differdange 03 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Racing Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Differdange 03 - Racing Luxembourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Hadji S. (Penalty Awarded),
85', 2 - 0, Pinto R. ⚽, Brusco T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Racing Luxembourg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Differdange 03 is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 39:23. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Differdange 03 won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:9. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Differdange 03
Luxembourg National Division
19.04.26	Differdange 03 - Victoria Rosport	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Swift Hesperange - Differdange 03	1:5 ✺
04.04.26	Differdange 03 - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	F91 Dudelange - Differdange 03	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLTT
- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
18.04.26	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Victoria Rosport - Racing Luxembourg	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
14.02.26	Racing Luxembourg - Differdange 03	0:2
29.10.25	Differdange 03 - Racing Luxembourg	5:1
18.05.25	Differdange 03 - Racing Luxembourg	1:1
07.12.24	Racing Luxembourg - Differdange 03	1:0
11.02.24	Differdange 03 - Racing Luxembourg	7:0
13.08.23	Racing Luxembourg - Differdange 03	1:3
21.05.23	Racing Luxembourg - Differdange 03	0:1

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