Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday


	Swindon Supermarine		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.1	2.05
	2.65	3.8	2.05
	2.75	4.09	2.09	Watch
	3.06	3.95	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.87)	3.99 ↓ (4.26)	2.12 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
33.2%

Draw
23.2%

Poole Town
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

22.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

22.3%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Swindon Supermarine - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 1.

Swindon Supermarine is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Poole is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
26.08.24	Hungerford Town - Swindon Supermarine	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Swindon Supermarine - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Hanwell Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
13.08.24	Basingstoke Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Swindon Supermarine - Sholing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLLL
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
26.08.24	Poole Town - Wimborne Town	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Marlow - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Poole Town - Totton	0:1 ✺
13.08.24	Poole Town - Taunton Town	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Bracknell Town - Poole Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.01.24	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0
05.08.23	Swindon Supermarine - Poole Town	2:7
19.04.23	Swindon Supermarine - Poole Town	2:1
07.02.23	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:2
29.01.22	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1
09.10.21	Swindon Supermarine - Poole Town	0:1
01.02.20	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:0

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