Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Sydvest		Holbæk

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.9
	2.45	3.4	2.45
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.15	3.45	2.8
	2.3	3.62	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.48)	3.47 ↑ (3.42)	2.65 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydvest
39.4%

Draw
26.2%

Holbæk
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

26.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

19.8%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydvest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Holbæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydvest than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydvest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holbæk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sydvest - Holbæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Sydvest is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Holbæk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sydvest won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sydvest won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sydvest 05
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
17.04.21	VSK Aarhus - Sydvest	1:0 ✺
10.04.21	Sydvest - Næsby	1:2 ✺
05.04.21	Thisted - Sydvest	3:0 ✺
27.03.21	Sydvest - Dalum IF	3:1 ✺
20.03.21	SfB-Oure - Sydvest	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWT
- Holbæk B&I
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
17.04.21	Holbæk - BK Frem	3:0 ✺
10.04.21	Brabrand - Holbæk	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Holbæk - Næsby	0:2 ✺
27.03.21	Aarhus Fremad - Holbæk	1:3 ✺
20.03.21	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division - Group 1
17.10.20	Holbæk - Sydvest	2:3
Danish 2 Division - Relegation Group
01.07.20	Holbæk - Sydvest	0:2
21.05.17	Holbæk - Sydvest	2:0
25.03.17	Sydvest - Holbæk	2:1

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