Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sámano		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.1	1.98
	3.68	3.05	2.12
	3.61	3.08	2.06	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.55	3.24	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.51)	3.07 ↓ (3.23)	2.06 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
25.5%

Draw
29.9%

Atlético Astorga
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

28.5%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

28%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Sámano - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Sanchez M. ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Berzosa A. ⚽,
38', 1 - 3, Sanchez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Sámano is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético Astorga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético Astorga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sámano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Atl. Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Sámano - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.21%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.02.26	Valladolid B - Sámano	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Sámano - Lealtad	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Rayo Cantabria - Sámano	7:0 ✺
01.02.26	Sámano - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Sámano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLL
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.02.26	Atlético Astorga - Langreo	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Real Oviedo B - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Astorga - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Real Ávila - Atlético Astorga	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	Atlético Astorga - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Sámano	3:0

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