Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 19

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Sámano		Tropezón

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.1	2.2
	3.16	3.13	2.13
	3.18	3.24	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.63)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.15 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
29.4%

Draw
28.6%

Tropezón
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28.4%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sámano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Preview

Sámano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tropezón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sámano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sámano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
28.01.24	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Sámano	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	Escobedo - Sámano	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Sámano - Vimenor	3:0 ✺
07.01.24	Torina - Sámano	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Sámano - Siete Villas	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLL
- CD Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
28.01.24	Tropezón - Guarnizo	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Tropezón - Cartes	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Laredo - Tropezón	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Tropezón	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Tropezón - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
15.09.23	Tropezón - Sámano	1:1
26.02.23	Sámano - Tropezón	1:1
23.10.22	Tropezón - Sámano	4:0
02.02.20	Tropezón - Sámano	3:0
11.09.19	Sámano - Tropezón	3:1

Sámano - Tropezón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide