Match Info
BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 8Date: 8 February 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro (Sorocaba)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
São Bento |
|
Capivariano |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.55 |
2.95 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.63 |
3 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.6 |
3.01 |
2.7 |
 Watch |
 |
2.62 |
2.75 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.62 |
2.86 |
2.79 |
|
 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.01) |
2.91 ↓
(3.05) |
2.73 ↓
(3.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São Bento
35.1% | Draw
31.4% | Capivariano
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bento's form might have worsened.Capivariano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Capivariano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capivariano than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Capivariano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.São Bento - Capivariano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 27', 0 - 1, Marcos Moser ⚽,
- 34', 0 - 2, Thiaguinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 47', 0 - 3, Vinicius Popo ⚽,
- 61', 0 - 4, Ravanelli ⚽,
- 89', 0 - 5, Thiago Silva ⚽,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3 and 11). São Bento is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Capivariano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). São Bento will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bento won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6). Including matches at home between the teams São Bento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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