Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 15

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro (Sorocaba)


	São Bento		Rio Claro

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.65	2.9	2.65	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.67
	2.77	2.91	2.61
	2.71	3.02	2.71	Watch
	2.65	2.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.14)	2.93 ↓ (3.13)	2.64 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bento
34%

Draw
31.3%

Rio Claro
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bento's form might have worsened.

Rio Claro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Claro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Claro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

São Bento - Rio Claro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Marcos Nunes ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, Ceasar M. ⚽,
73', 3 - 0, Nadson ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bento won 1.

São Bento is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rio Claro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Bento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches São Bento won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams São Bento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.25	Linense - São Bento	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	São Bento - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	São José-SP - São Bento	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	São Bento - Santo André	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	São Bento - CA Juventus	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTLW
- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.25	Rio Claro - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Rio Claro - Grêmio Prudente	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Votuporanguense - Rio Claro	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Taubaté - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Rio Claro - Portuguesa Santista	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
09.03.24	Rio Claro - São Bento	3:3
Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.08.22	São Bento - Rio Claro	1:2
03.07.22	Rio Claro - São Bento	1:4
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
09.02.22	Rio Claro - São Bento	0:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
05.10.21	São Bento - Rio Claro	1:1
28.09.21	Rio Claro - São Bento	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.02.20	Rio Claro - São Bento	1:2

São Bento - Rio Claro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide