Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 13

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro (Sorocaba)


	São Bento		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.3	Watch
	3.41	2.83	2.45
	3.34	2.71	2.38	Watch
	3.25	2.8	2.3
	3.3	2.97	2.33	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.7)	2.82 ↓ (3.03)	2.34 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bento
28%

Draw
32.7%

Ferroviária
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

30.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.8%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bento's form might have worsened.

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

São Bento - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
40', 0 - 1, Edson Lucas ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Juninho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bento won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams São Bento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
23.02.25	São José-SP - São Bento	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	São Bento - Santo André	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	São Bento - CA Juventus	3:2 ✺
12.02.25	Piracicaba - São Bento	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	São Bento - Capivariano	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWTL
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
23.02.25	Ferroviária - Portuguesa Santista	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Ferroviária - São José-SP	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Linense - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.01.24	Ferroviária - São Bento	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.19	São Bento - Ferroviária	0:0
03.04.17	Ferroviária - São Bento	2:2
06.03.17	Ferroviária - São Bento	0:1
23.03.16	São Bento - Ferroviária	1:0

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