Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 14

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Rio Claro		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.95	2.04	Watch
	3.92	3.04	2
	3.88	3.08	1.98
	3.81	3.2	1.97
	3.7	2.95	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.49)	3.04 ↓ (3.07)	2.01 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Claro
24.1%

Draw
30.1%

Ferroviária
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

29.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Claro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Rio Claro - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, Ueslei Brito ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ferroviária will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rio Claro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.02.25	Rio Claro - Grêmio Prudente	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Votuporanguense - Rio Claro	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Taubaté - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Rio Claro - Portuguesa Santista	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Osasco Sporting - Rio Claro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTLTT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.02.25	São Bento - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Ferroviária - Portuguesa Santista	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Ferroviária - São José-SP	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Linense - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
10.02.24	Ferroviária - Rio Claro	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.02.16	Ferroviária - Rio Claro	3:1

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