Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 9

Date: 19 February 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)


	São Bernardo		Santo André

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4.33	Watch
	2	3.2	3.8
	2	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.1	3.85
	2.16	2.94	3.92
	1.91	3.1	3.7
	1.9	3.23	4.3	Watch
	1.96	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.7)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	3.93 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
46.9%

Draw
29.5%

Santo André
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

28%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

27.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bernardo's form might have worsened.

Santo André has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santo André, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

São Bernardo - Santo André Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 3. Helder Maciel 91. Alan Santos 4. Rafael Forster 66. Vitor Ricardo 31. Lucas Lima 17. Romisson 26. Davi Gabriel 7. Lucas Tocantins 14. Luiz Filipe 99. Kayke	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 23. Junior Caicara 3. Joao Maistro 4. Afonso 6. Igor Fernandes 8. Dudu Vieira (C) 5. Wellington Reis 7. Geovane 10. Bruno Michel 19. Lohan 11. Richard
Substitutes
6. Arthur Henrique 21. Hugo Sanchez 2. Jeferson 9. Joao Carlos 43. Joao Ramos 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 33. Kaua Jesus 77. Matheus Martins 11. Matheus Regis 8. Rodrigo Souza 10. Vitinho Mesquita 23. Wesley Dias	20. Alexiel 22. Ariel 2. David Junio 16. Enzo 18. Felipe Ferreira 9. Leo Passos 17. Marciel 21. Robinho 15. Sousa 14. Walce 12. Wellington Santana (G) 13. Ze Mateus
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi	Fernandes M.

Preview

Recent matches São Bernardo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santo André is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santo André could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São Bernardo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.24	São Bernardo - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	São Bernardo - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	3:3 ✺
01.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWTL
- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.24	Guarani - Santo André	2:2 ✺
12.02.24	Santo André - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
08.02.24	Mirassol - Santo André	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Santo André - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
01.02.24	Botafogo SP - Santo André	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
02.07.22	São Bernardo - Santo André	1:0
30.04.22	Santo André - São Bernardo	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.02.22	Santo André - São Bernardo	1:0
19.02.17	Santo André - São Bernardo	0:1

Upcoming Matches