The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Bragantino 56.1%
Draw 25.8%
São Bernardo 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
24.4%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
23.7%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Red Bull Bragantino - São Bernardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (G) 23. Sant'Anna A. 14. Pedro Henrique 3. Eduardo Santos 51. Caue Nascimento 15. Sosa I. 5. Fabinho (C) 57. Marcelinho 7. Eric Ramires 17. Vinicinho 11. Fernando Santos
1. Alex Alves (C) 21. Hugo Sanches 3. Helder Maciel 5. Matheus Salustiano 6. Para 17. Romisson 77. Marcao Silva 11. Pedro Vitor 28. Joao Paulo 29. Pedrinho 9. Felipe Garcia
Substitutes
4. Alix Vinicius 27. Davi Gomes 58. Gabriel Lopes 56. Gustavo Reis (G) 32. Herrera J. 54. Palacios W. 9. Pitta I. 20. Rodriguinho 52. Tavares R. 18. Tiago Volpi (G) 28. Yuri Alves
97. Augusto 27. Echapora 10. Fabricio Daniel 25. Gonzaga W. 30. Junior Urso 7. Lucas Rian 40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 19. Neto Costa 22. Pablo Dyego 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 20. Rodrigues F. 31. Victor Andrade
Coaches
Vagner Mancini
Ricardo Catala
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Felipe Garcia ⚽,
35', Marcao Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernando Santos ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
46', Eric Ramires ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
56', Pedrinho ↓, Echapora ↑,
57', Helder Maciel 🟨,
66', Marcelinho ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
66', Vinicinho ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
70', Pedro Vitor ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
73', Matheus Salustiano 🟨,
75', Sant'Anna A. 🟨,
82', Pitta I. 🟥,
84', Fabinho ↓, Yuri Alves ↑,
84', Joao Paulo ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
84', Hugo Sanches ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
85', Felipe Garcia ↓, Junior Urso ↑,
86', Cleiton 🟨,
87', Sosa I. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Davi Gomes ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
RB Bragantino is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
São Bernardo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, RB Bragantino is the team to beat.
There will not play in RB Bragantino: Pitta I.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Mosquera H.
(Injury)
We predict that RB Bragantino will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
Brazil
Watch
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Cleiton (G) 
Sant'Anna A. 
Herrera J. 
Palacios W. 
Pitta I. 
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