Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday


	São Bernardo		Tocantinópolis

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.75
	1.65	3.5	4.75
	1.61	3.35	4.8
	1.61	3.45	4.94
	1.65	3.5	4.75
	1.62	3.48	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.88)	3.46 ↑ (3.08)	4.86 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
55.4%

Draw
26%

Tocantinópolis
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

29.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

28.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Bernardo's performance.

Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Bernardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

São Bernardo - Tocantinópolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.

São Bernardo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tocantinópolis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match São Bernardo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie D
21.08.22	Tocantinópolis - São Bernardo	0:3 ✺
13.08.22	São Bernardo - Bahia de Feira	1:1 ✺
06.08.22	Bahia de Feira - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
30.07.22	São Bernardo - Azuriz	2:0 ✺
23.07.22	Azuriz - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWWT
- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
21.08.22	Tocantinópolis - São Bernardo	0:3 ✺
14.08.22	Tocantinópolis - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Tocantinópolis	0:0 ✺
30.07.22	Tocantinópolis - São Raimundo Manaus	4:1 ✺
23.07.22	São Raimundo Manaus - Tocantinópolis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.08.22	Tocantinópolis - São Bernardo	0:3

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