Match Info

Date: 7 August 2022, Sunday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Tocantinópolis

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4.2
	1.77	3.25	4.1
	1.73	3.2	4.2
	1.74	3.29	4.28
	1.6	3.3	5
	1.76	3.26	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	4.37 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
51.9%

Draw
27.6%

Tocantinópolis
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

32%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Santa Cruz Recife - Tocantinópolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Santa Cruz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tocantinópolis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tocantinópolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Cruz is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
01.08.22	Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
24.07.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
16.07.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Lagarto	1:1 ✺
10.07.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
03.07.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Juazeirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTTLW
- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
30.07.22	Tocantinópolis - São Raimundo Manaus	4:1 ✺
23.07.22	São Raimundo Manaus - Tocantinópolis	2:2 ✺
17.07.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Tocantinópolis	5:3 ✺
09.07.22	Tocantinópolis - Fluminense Piaui	2:1 ✺
01.07.22	Pacajus - Tocantinópolis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTLWW

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