Match Info

Date: 21 August 2022, Sunday


	Tocantinópolis		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.5
	2.65	2.75	2.65
	2.75	2.75	2.47
	2.84	2.7	2.57
	2.88	3	2.25
	2.8	2.92	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.47)	2.82 ↑ (2.71)	2.49 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tocantinópolis
32.2%

Draw
31.8%

São Bernardo
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

33%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

33.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Bernardo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Tocantinópolis - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tocantinópolis will win (votes: 2 - 25%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tocantinópolis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
14.08.22	Tocantinópolis - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Tocantinópolis	0:0 ✺
30.07.22	Tocantinópolis - São Raimundo Manaus	4:1 ✺
23.07.22	São Raimundo Manaus - Tocantinópolis	2:2 ✺
17.07.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Tocantinópolis	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWTL
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie D
13.08.22	São Bernardo - Bahia de Feira	1:1 ✺
06.08.22	Bahia de Feira - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
30.07.22	São Bernardo - Azuriz	2:0 ✺
23.07.22	Azuriz - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
17.07.22	Portuguesa RJ - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWTL

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