Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 11

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	São Caetano		Marília

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.8
	4.05	3.4	1.8
	4	3.4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.09)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São Caetano
22.8%

Draw
26.9%

Marília
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.7%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

26.8%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

#ad

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

São Caetano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marília is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marília could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marília is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.24	EC São Bernardo - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	São Caetano - Matonense	4:1 ✺
21.02.24	São Caetano - Votuporanguense	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	São Caetano - União Suzano	1:2 ✺
07.02.24	Catanduva - São Caetano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTLL
- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.24	Marília - Desportivo Brasil	3:0 ✺
21.02.24	Matonense - Marília	0:6 ✺
17.02.24	Marília - Lemense FC	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Itapirense - Marília	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Marília - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTTT

São Caetano - Marília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide