Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 8

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday


	Matonense		Marília

	1	X	2
	10.5	5	1.24
				Watch
	9.42	4.66	1.28
	10.8	5.25	1.23
	9.8	4.9	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.13 ↑ (6.31)	4.95 ↑ (3.5)	1.25 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matonense
9%

Draw
18.4%

Marília
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

25.8%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

25.3%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matonense's form might have worsened.

Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marília's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marília than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marília, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 10).

Matonense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Marília is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Matonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marília is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Marília to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Matonense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
18.02.24	Matonense - EC São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Sertãozinho - Matonense	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Desportivo Brasil - Matonense	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Matonense - Votuporanguense	0:2 ✺
31.01.24	União Suzano - Matonense	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
17.02.24	Marília - Lemense FC	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Itapirense - Marília	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Marília - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Marília - União São João	0:0 ✺
24.01.24	Rio Preto - Marília	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTTTT

Matonense - Marília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide