Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 9

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	São Caetano		Matonense

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São Caetano
79.4%

Draw
13.7%

Matonense
6.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

21.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Caetano's performance.

Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-26.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Caetano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Matonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São Caetano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.02.24	São Caetano - Votuporanguense	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	São Caetano - União Suzano	1:2 ✺
07.02.24	Catanduva - São Caetano	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Desportivo Brasil - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	São Caetano - Lemense FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLL
- SE Matonense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.02.24	Matonense - Marília	0:6 ✺
18.02.24	Matonense - EC São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Sertãozinho - Matonense	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Desportivo Brasil - Matonense	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Matonense - Votuporanguense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

São Caetano - Matonense