Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 9

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	São Caetano		Santo André

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.02	2.92	3.65
	1.99	2.95	3.78
	2.00	3.35	3.48	Watch
	2.08	3.06	3.43
	2.26	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.17)	3.12 ↓ (3.23)	3.43 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Caetano
43.9%

Draw
29.4%

Santo André
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

São Caetano - Santo André Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

São Caetano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Santo André has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

São Caetano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, São Caetano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, São Caetano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.08.25	Portuguesa Santista - São Caetano	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	São José-SP - São Caetano	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	São Caetano - Osasco Sporting	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	São Caetano - Taubaté	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Santo André - São Caetano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.3 TWWLW
- Santo André
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.08.25	São José-SP - Santo André	3:1 ✺
26.07.25	Santo André - Taubaté	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Portuguesa Santista - Santo André	1:1 ✺
14.07.25	Osasco Sporting - Santo André	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Santo André - São Caetano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
05.07.25	Santo André - São Caetano	0:2
25.08.23	São Caetano - Santo André	1:2
19.07.23	Santo André - São Caetano	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.03.21	Santo André - São Caetano	0:0

São Caetano - Santo André: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide