Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	São Cristóvão		Paduano

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.72	3.55
	1.41	4.17	7.29	Watch
	2.13	3.22	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.45)	3.37 ↑ (2.79)	4.72 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Cristóvão
50.9%

Draw
28.7%

Paduano
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

32.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Cristóvão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Cristóvão's performance.

Paduano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paduano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Cristóvão than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Cristóvão that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paduano than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paduano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

São Cristóvão - Paduano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São Cristóvão will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Cristóvão (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Teixeira J. ⚽,
45+5', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 0, Ricardinho ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B2).

São Cristóvão is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paduano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that São Cristóvão will win today's game, with odds of 2.45.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Cristóvão won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, São Cristóvão won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Cristóvão FR
Brazilian Carioca B1
25.10.25	São Cristóvão - Friburguense	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Petrópolis - São Cristóvão	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	São Cristóvão - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Carapebus Campos - São Cristóvão	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	São Cristóvão - Campo Grande	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WWWWT
- Paduano EC
Brazilian Carioca B1
25.10.25	Duque de Caxias - Paduano	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Paduano - EC Campo Grande	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Bonsucesso - Paduano	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Paduano - Artsul	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Serrano FC - Paduano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
21.09.24	São Cristóvão - Paduano	0:1

São Cristóvão - Paduano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide