Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	São Gonçalo		Nova Cidade

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.5
	2.04	3.15	3.1
	1.7	3.5	3.85
	2.03	3.5	3.58
	1.96	3.3	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.74)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	3.53 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Gonçalo
47.3%

Draw
27%

Nova Cidade
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

16.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Gonçalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Nova Cidade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Gonçalo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Cidade than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Cidade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Gonçalo - Nova Cidade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 7 and 8).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Nova Cidade could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Gonçalo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Gonçalo EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
11.11.20	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	1:0 ✺
07.11.20	São Gonçalo - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
04.11.20	Maricá - São Gonçalo	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	São Gonçalo - Rio São Paulo	1:1 ✺
28.10.20	Duque de Caxias - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTLTT
- EC Nova Cidade
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
07.11.20	Goytacaz - Nova Cidade	1:1 ✺
04.11.20	Nova Cidade - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:5 ✺
01.11.20	Campos - Nova Cidade	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Serrano FC - Nova Cidade	3:1 ✺
14.10.20	Nova Cidade - Petrópolis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWLL

São Gonçalo - Nova Cidade

Match Info

Current Win Probability

São Gonçalo - Nova Cidade Predictions

Preview

Form

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