Match Info

Amapaense - Round 6

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Augusto Antunes (Santana)


	São José		Oratório

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.05	2.15
	3.08	3.17	2.21	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.17	3.1	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.14)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.18 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São José
28.9%

Draw
29.6%

Oratório
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

28.9%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

29%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Oratório has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oratório than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

São José - Oratório Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

São José is Qualified for Amapaense (Play Offs Semi~finals)

São José has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Oratório has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Oratório may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São José Macapá
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
07.03.26	Ypiranga Clube - São José	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	São José - Cristal AP	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	São José - Trem	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Macapá - São José	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Santos AP - São José	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWTW
- Oratório RC
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
06.03.26	Oratório - Macapá	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Oratório - Santos AP	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Tombense - Oratório	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
21.02.26	Independente - Oratório	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Oratório - Trem	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW

São José - Oratório: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide