The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oratório 40%
Draw 29.3%
Santos AP 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
30.4%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
30.7%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oratório has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Santos AP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oratório than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos AP than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Oratório - Santos AP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oratório won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Santos AP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Oratório is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oratório won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Oratório won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).