PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 26
Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday
São João de Ver
Florgrade
1
X
2
6
3.5
1.55
2.11
3.14
3.3
2.18
3.1
3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)
3.43 ↑ (2.11)
3.25 ↑ (3.12)
2.63 ↓ (3.25)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São João de Ver 29.8%
Draw 31.5%
Florgrade 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
29.1%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
29.8%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São João de Ver's form might have worsened.
Florgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Florgrade's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São João de Ver, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Florgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
0%
92.3%
São João de Ver - Florgrade Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. São João de Ver will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Florgrade will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Florgrade: 77.8% – 100%.
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