Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 24

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Florgrade		Gondomar

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.24	4.75
	1.78	3.28	4.87
	1.69	3.32	4.97
	1.79	3.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.11)	3.24 ↑ (3)	4.8 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florgrade
52.2%

Draw
28.5%

Gondomar
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Florgrade's performance.

Gondomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gondomar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Florgrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gondomar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Barros R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Barros R. ⚽,
63', 🟥,
80', Silva P. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent matches Florgrade is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gondomar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gondomar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Florgrade is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Florgrade won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.03.24	Lamelas - Florgrade	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Beira-Mar - Florgrade	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Florgrade - Valadares Gaia	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Amarante - Florgrade	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Florgrade - Rebordosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLT
- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.03.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Gondomar	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Gondomar - Beira-Mar	3:2 ✺
25.02.24	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Gondomar - Amarante	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Rebordosa - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.12.23	Gondomar - Florgrade	3:1

Florgrade - Gondomar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide