Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO GAUCHO - ROUND 6

Date: 8 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio 19 de Outubro (Ijuí)


	São Luiz		Esportivo Bento Gonçalves

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.1	4.1
	1.9	3	4
	1.88	2.9	4.2
	1.92	3.18	4.2
	1.88	3.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.89)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	4.13 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Luiz
48.3%

Draw
29.7%

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

29.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

25.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for São Luiz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Luiz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

São Luiz - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Luiz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Esportivo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches São Luiz is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

São Luiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São Luiz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams São Luiz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
05.02.23	Avenida - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
02.02.23	São Luiz - Novo Hamburgo	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Internacional RS - São Luiz	4:0 ✺
24.01.23	Juventude - São Luiz	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	São Luiz - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLTT
- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
05.02.23	Caxias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	3:1 ✺
01.02.23	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
26.01.23	Aimoré - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
25.03.21	São Luiz - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1
01.03.20	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - São Luiz	1:0

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