Match Info

Copa Libertadores Women

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Brazil	SporTV
World	Pluto TV


	São Paulo		San Lorenzo de Almagro

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6.25
	1.44	3.7	7.9
	1.39	4.15	6.2
	1.4	3.88	7.9	Watch
	1.42	3.85	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)	3.94 ↑ (3.63)	7.13 ↓ (7.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
64.2%

Draw
23.1%

San Lorenzo de Almagro
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

25.2%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

24.7%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

San Lorenzo de Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

São Paulo - San Lorenzo de Almagro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Millene ⚽, Bruna Calderan (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Camilinha ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, São Paulo has had a series of home games.

In this match, São Paulo is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
28.09.25	São Paulo - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
24.09.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
21.09.25	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
17.09.25	São Paulo - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
03.09.25	Santos - São Paulo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWT
- San Lorenzo de Almagro Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
22.09.25	Talleres de Córdoba - San Lorenzo de Almagro	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - River Plate	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Vélez Sársfield	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo de Almagro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTWL

São Paulo - San Lorenzo de Almagro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide