The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Paulo U20 49.2%
Draw 25.4%
Corinthians U20 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
24.2%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.2%
25.5%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo U20's form might have worsened.
Corinthians U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (-5%)
São Paulo U20 - Corinthians U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 🟥,
79', 0 - 1, Correa G. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, São Paulo U20 is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo U20 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
Last Results with these Odds
São Paulo U20 - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 54.35%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.