Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	São Paulo U20		Vitória U20

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4
	1.65	3.5	4
	1.64	3.9	4.1
	1.68	3.82	4.45
	1.7	3.8	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.72)	3.76 ↑ (3.74)	4.16 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo U20
54.2%

Draw
24%

Vitória U20
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

16.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Vitória U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Paulo U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória U20 than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Paulo U20 - Vitória U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 9).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Vitória U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Paulo U20 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches São Paulo U20 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo U20 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo U20
Copa do Brasil U20
11.11.20	São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.11.20	Cruzeiro U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1 ✺
05.11.20	São Paulo U20 - Sport Recife U20	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Goiás U20 - São Paulo U20	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
28.10.20	São Paulo U20 - Coritiba U20	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLW
- EC Vitória Salvador U20
Brasileiro U20
08.11.20	Vitória U20 - Chapecoense U20	1:0 ✺
04.11.20	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Vitória U20	5:1 ✺
01.11.20	Vitória U20 - Corinthians U20	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Internacional U20 - Vitória U20	1:2 ✺
18.10.20	Vitória U20 - Sport Recife U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
02.10.19	Vitória U20 - São Paulo U20	3:2
11.07.18	Vitória U20 - São Paulo U20	2:0
Brazilian Copinha
18.01.18	São Paulo U20 - Vitória U20	2:2

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