Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 10

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	São Paulo U20		Bahia U20

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.78
	2.31	3.75	2.74
	2.21	3.91	2.64	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.63
	2.24	3.5	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)	3.57 ↑ (3.52)	2.7 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo U20
40.8%

Draw
25.5%

Bahia U20
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

25.8%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bahia U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Roger Gabriel ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Caio Suassuna ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Pena D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 2, Amaro L. ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, Caio Suassuna ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bahia U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo U20 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo U20
Brasileiro U20
26.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2 ✺
16.04.26	Avaí U20 - São Paulo U20	3:3 ✺
08.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Grêmio U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTWL
- Bahia U20
Brasileiro U20
30.04.26	Bahia U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bahia U20 - Vitória U20	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
19.04.26	Galícia U20 - Bahia U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.04.26	Bahia U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
25.06.25	São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20	3:1
Copa do Brasil U20
27.11.24	Bahia U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2
21.11.24	São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20	2:0
Brasileiro U20
28.05.24	Bahia U20 - São Paulo U20	3:2
15.03.23	Bahia U20 - São Paulo U20	2:1
07.08.22	São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20	3:0
25.07.21	São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20	4:0

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