Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Municipal Stadium of Oujda (Oujda) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	18:00	SportKlub 10
Equatorial Guinea	17:00	TVGE Internacional
Finland	19:00	Veikkaus TV
India	21:30	FanCode, FanCode
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV5
Usa	12:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	16:00	FIFA+


	São Tomé and Príncipe		Equatorial Guinea

	1	X	2
	12	4.75	1.3	Watch
	11.5	4.75	1.3	Watch
	11	4.25	1.32
	17.64	4.65	1.31
	3.86	3.39	1.94	Watch
				Watch
	11.5	4.8	1.32	Watch
	14.55	5.14	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.72 ↓ (14.55)	4.53 ↓ (5.14)	1.37 ↑ (1.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São Tomé and Príncipe
8.3%

Draw
21.3%

Equatorial Guinea
70.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.9%

77.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Tomé and Príncipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Equatorial Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Equatorial Guinea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

São Tomé and Príncipe - Equatorial Guinea Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. São Tomé will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Equ Guinea will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Equ Guinea: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Equ Guinea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Equ Guinea (1.95) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Equ Guinea (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonfim Y. (G) 6. Fernandes R. Guarda FC 15. Waldimison 13. Neves A. Bansko 3. D'Almeida G. 23. Vava Pequeno Industria 10. Braganca N. Chernomorets 1919 8. Neves J. (C) Oriental 11. Lumungo R. Pacos Ferreira 9. Reis Tavares Semedo K. Cinfaes 17. Andrade Male S. A. Estrela da Amadora	1. Owono J. (G) FC Andorra 4. Boriko S. Arenas Getxo 11. Ndong B. 22. Ganet P. Persita 16. Coco S. Torino 14. Obiang P. Monza 21. Orozco E. Campionii Arges 5. Mascarell O. Mallorca 6. Salvador I. Wisla Plock 10. Nsue E. (C) CF Intercity 20. Eneme S. Sparta Prague
Substitutes
7. Cardoso R. KPV Kokkola 5. Fernandes R. Santarem 20. Lopez W. Sporting Lisbon 25. Mendes F. (G) 16. Silva J. Farsley 4. Vaz dos Ramos A. S. Real SC	3. Anieboh M. San Sebastian Reyes 2. Asue L. Shanghai Shenhua 8. Buyla J. Numancia 13. Embela A. (G) Lorca FC 9. Hanza D. Viborg 17. Joel Akogo G. Granada CF 12. Makate Bokoya C. Royale Union SG 7. Nabil J. Nantes 18. Ngaah M. UD Logrones 23. Sapunga M. (G) Sekhukhune 24. Zuniga L.
Coaches
Monsanto R.	Obiang Bicogo J. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Lumungo R. (Pen),
37', Reis Tavares Semedo K. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Lumungo R. (Pen),
45+2', Coco S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Boriko S. ↓, Nabil J. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Ganet P. ⚽,
58', Waldimison 🟨,
61', 🟨,
62', 2 - 2, Salvador I. ⚽,
66', Waldimison ↓, Vaz dos Ramos A. S. ↑,
70', 2 - 3, Nabil J. ⚽, Ganet P. (A),
71', Reis Tavares Semedo K. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
71', Fernandes R. ↓, Cardoso R. ↑,
82', Lumungo R. ↓, Lopez W. ↑,
82', Neves J. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
86', Salvador I. ↓, Joel Akogo G. ↑,
86', Obiang P. ↓, Buyla J. ↑,
89', Nsue E. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
90+4', Eneme S. ↓, Makate Bokoya C. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

In this match, Equ Guinea is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Tomé won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Tomé and Príncipe
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Liberia - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Equatorial Guinea - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	São Tomé and Príncipe - Liberia	0:1 ✺
06.06.24	Malawi - São Tomé and Príncipe	3:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
26.03.24	South Sudan - São Tomé and Príncipe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT
- Equatorial Guinea
Friendly
06.06.25	Equatorial Guinea - Gambia	1:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Namibia - Equatorial Guinea	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Equatorial Guinea - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
17.11.24	Togo - Equatorial Guinea	3:0 ✺
14.11.24	Equatorial Guinea - Algeria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	Equatorial Guinea - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:0

São Tomé and Príncipe - Equatorial Guinea