What is the expert prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, December 31, 2025)

Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 3

Date: 31 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Prince Moulay Hassan (Rabat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ CAN, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Algeria	ENTV
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Band Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Equatorial-guinea	TVGE Internacional
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Morocco	Al Aoula
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz


	Equatorial Guinea		Algeria

	1	X	2
	7	3.8	1.55	Watch
	6.6	3.8	1.55	Watch
	6.48	3.82	1.59	Watch
	6	3.5	1.57
	6.88	3.83	1.63	Watch
	6.5	3.8	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.58 ↓ (10.97)	3.76 ↓ (4.94)	1.57 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Equatorial Guinea
14.4%

Draw
25.3%

Algeria
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.7%

19.3%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Equatorial Guinea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Equatorial Guinea's performance.

Algeria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Algeria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	22.5%	62.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Equ Guinea will win (votes: 5 - 13.2%). Algeria will win (votes: 25 - 65.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Algeria: 50.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Equ Guinea (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Algeria (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Equ Guinea (2.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1 - Equ Guinea (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Equ Guinea (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Algeria (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owono J. (G) FC Andorra 3. Anieboh M. San Sebastian Reyes 21. Orozco E. Campionii Arges 16. Coco S. Torino 12. Ondo C. Portland Timbers 8. Buyla J. Numancia 4. Balboa A. Lugo 5. Mascarell O. Mallorca 26. Nabil J. Nantes 10. Nsue E. (C) CF Intercity 22. Ganet P. Persita	1. Mandrea A. (G) Caen 25. Belghali R. Verona 5. Belaid Z. Kabylie 4. Tougai M. Esperance Tunis 15. Ait Nouri R. Manchester City 6. Zerrouki R. (C) Twente 8. Abdelli H. Angers 17. Chaibi F. Eintracht Frankfurt 12. Bakrar M. Din. Zagreb 22. Maza I. Bayer Leverkusen 11. Hadj Moussa A. Feyenoord
Substitutes
27. Akogo G. Granada CF 19. Asue L. Shanghai Shenhua 13. Embela A. (G) Soneja 9. Hanza D. Viborg 7. Machin J. Vis Pesaro 28. Masogo A. Beroe 25. Mum J. Muza Fc 18. Ngaah P. Real Avila 14. Obiang P. Monza 6. Salvador I. Wisla Plock 23. Sapunga M. (G) Sekhukhune 2. Senra N. Recreativo Huelva 24. Zuniga L. Real Madrid	18. Amoura M. Wolfsburg 20. Atal Y. Al-Sadd 16. Benbot O. (G) USM Alger 10. Bennacer I. Din. Zagreb 21. Bensebaini R. Dortmund 28. Berkane R. Al Wakra 14. Boudaoui H. Nice 27. Boulbina A. Al-Duhail 9. Bounedjah B. Shamal 3. Dorval M. Bari 24. Kebbal I. Paris FC 7. Mahrez R. Al Ahli SC 2. Mandi A. Lille 23. Zidane L. (G) Granada CF 19. Zorgane A. Royale Union SG
Coaches
Obiang Bicogo J. M.	Petkovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Belaid Z. ⚽, Hadj Moussa A. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Chaibi F. ⚽, Maza I. (A),
32', 0 - 3, Maza I. ⚽, Hadj Moussa A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nabil J. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
46', Mascarell O. ↓, Machin J. ↑,
46', Belghali R. ↓, Atal Y. ↑,
46', Ait Nouri R. ↓, Dorval M. ↑,
50', 1 - 3, Nsue E. ⚽, Balboa A. (A),
55', Salvador I. 🟨,
60', Tougai M. ↓, Mandi A. ↑,
61', Maza I. ↓, Zorgane A. ↑,
71', Buyla J. ↓, Akogo G. ↑,
71', Ondo C. ↓, Ngaah P. ↑,
79', Chaibi F. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
83', Ganet P. 🟨,
84', Akogo G. 🟨,
85', Coco S. ↓, Senra N. ↑,
88', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
89', Anieboh M. 🟨,

Preview

Algeria is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Algeria is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Algeria: Aouar H. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Equ Guinea: Eneme S. (Injury) Obiang P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Algeria: Chergui S. (Injury) Hadjam J. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Equ Guinea won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Equatorial Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations
28.12.25	Equatorial Guinea - Sudan	0:1 ✺
24.12.25	Burkina Faso - Equatorial Guinea	2:1 ✺
Friendly
14.11.25	Kenya - Equatorial Guinea	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
13.10.25	Equatorial Guinea - Liberia	1:1 ✺
09.10.25	Malawi - Equatorial Guinea	Malawi awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWT?
- Algeria
Africa Cup of Nations
28.12.25	Algeria - Burkina Faso	1:0 ✺
24.12.25	Algeria - Sudan	3:0 ✺
FIFA Arab Cup
12.12.25	Algeria - United Arab Emirates	1:2 penalties ✺
09.12.25	Algeria - Iraq	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bahrain - Algeria	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
14.11.24	Equatorial Guinea - Algeria	0:0
05.09.24	Algeria - Equatorial Guinea	2:0
16.01.22	Algeria - Equatorial Guinea	0:1

Equatorial Guinea - Algeria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide