Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	TOGB		Rijnvogels

	1	X	2
	3.29	3.96	1.86	Watch
	2.82	4.06	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.29)	4.01 ↑ (3.96)	2 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TOGB
30.4%

Draw
23.2%

Rijnvogels
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

23.1%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

22.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TOGB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Rijnvogels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TOGB than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijnvogels than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

TOGB - Rijnvogels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tweede Divisie (Promotion: )).

TOGB is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rijnvogels's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Rijnvogels has had a series of home games.

Rijnvogels will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TOGB
Dutch Derde Divisie
19.10.25	GOES - TOGB	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	TOGB - UDI 19	3:3 ✺
20.09.25	Lisse - TOGB	6:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.09.25	TOGB - UDI 19	1:3 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
31.08.25	TOGB - Gemert	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLLT
- FC Rijnvogels
Dutch Derde Divisie
18.10.25	Rijnvogels - Kloetinge	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Rijnvogels - Noordwijk	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Groene Ster - Rijnvogels	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Rijnvogels - VV Zwaluwen	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Rijnvogels - Roosendaal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTW

TOGB - Rijnvogels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide