The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TP-47 49.3%
Draw 24.1%
JBK 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
23.8%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
23.3%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TP-47 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TP-47's performance.
JBK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JBK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TP-47 than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JBK than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JBK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
TP 47 - JBK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Rapo J. (G) 6. Ajayi O. 8. Alamaki J. (C) 27. Autti L. 7. Eskelinen M. 5. Isokangas J. 11. Koivumies L. 3. Mattinen V. 17. Niskala J. 9. Nurkkala M. 2. Rauvala S.
77. Kaldstrom H. (G) 14. Bjorkskog R. 22. Forsen J. 21. Jarvenlahti T. 17. Nyman W. 16. Ost J. 26. Ostman B. (C) 6. Siro J. 7. Strang C. 10. Uwaegbulam J. 29. Wargh M.
Substitutes
20. Barrow A. 12. Karvonen N. (G) 16. Korkeamaki H. 28. Kulju H. 99. Pitkanen A. 21. Toivanen E.
11. Omoruyi N. 31. Rantala R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Rauvala S. ⚽,
34', Jarvenlahti T. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Uwaegbulam J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Isokangas J. ↓, Korkeamaki H. ↑,
55', Autti L. 🟨,
62', Nurkkala M. ↓, Kulju H. ↑,
63', Autti L. ↓, Toivanen E. ↑,
76', 🟨,
79', Koivumies L. ↓, Barrow A. ↑,
80', 🟨,
83', Jarvenlahti T. ↓, Omoruyi N. ↑,
90+2', Eskelinen M. 🟨,
90+3', Eskelinen M. 🟥,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TP-47 won 2.
TP-47 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
JBK's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
JBK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
TP-47 could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that TP-47 will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, TP-47 won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, TP-47 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2.7:1.7).