The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TP-47 50.1%
Draw 20.9%
Närpes 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
23.2%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
22.6%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TP-47 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TP-47's performance.
Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Närpes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TP-47 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TP-47 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
TP 47 - Närpes Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.75 - Närpes (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Närpes (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Rapo J. (G) 6. Ajayi O. 8. Alamaki J. (C) 27. Autti L. 7. Eskelinen M. 5. Isokangas J. 11. Koivumies L. 28. Kulju H. 22. Lantto E. 3. Mattinen V. 97. Taskila E.
1. Eriksson Z. (G) 4. Abonde J. 8. Avdili A. 20. Bergvik V. 21. Chidobe O. 17. Etoka L. 7. Kalabic A. 23. Pimentel L. 6. Sifet B. 30. Skogman E. 11. Wulff W. (C)
Substitutes
20. Barrow A. 16. Korkeamaki H. 23. Liimatta L. 1. Nousiainen T. (G) 9. Nurkkala M. 99. Pitkanen A. 32. Rauhala E.
3. Laine H. 31. Norrgard J. (G) 29. Onyeaghala F. 19. Pomba L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Alamaki J. ⚽,
34', Kulju H. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Pimentel L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kulju H. ↓, Liimatta L. ↑,
46', Eskelinen M. ↓, Nurkkala M. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Lantto E. ⚽,
66', Bergvik V. ↓, Pomba L. ↑,
69', Wulff W. 🟨,
76', Chidobe O. ↓, Laine H. ↑,
85', Mattinen V. 🟨,
87', Sifet B. ↓, Onyeaghala F. ↑,
89', Liimatta L. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TP-47 won 4.
TP-47 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Närpes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Närpes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, TP-47 won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, TP-47 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).