Match Info

Kakkonen Group C - Winners stage

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Project Liv Arena (Pietarsaari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	JBK		Närpes

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.60	4.75
	1.39	5.03	5.69
	1.41	4.99	5.46	Watch
	1.27	5.45	7.2
	1.33	5.05	6.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	5.02 ↑ (4.88)	5.95 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JBK
66.5%

Draw
18.2%

Närpes
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

18.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

17.4%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JBK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Närpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JBK than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

JBK - Närpes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Kaldstrom H. (G) 14. Bjorkskog R. 11. Chaves M. 15. Forsen D. 22. Forsen J. 10. Franklin M. 2. Hassan K. 16. Ost J. 26. Ostman B. (C) 7. Strang C. 5. Stromback A.	1. Eriksson Z. (G) 8. Abonde J. 4. Avdili A. 5. Badnjevic R. 21. Chidobe O. 17. Etoka L. 9. Isanovic S. (C) 3. Laine H. 6. Sifet B. 30. Skogman E. 24. Strand C.
Substitutes
3. Forsen A. 27. Forss R. 30. Hansell A. 6. Siro J.	15. Halilcevic M. 12. Kaarre M. (G) 14. Krak E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Forsen J. 🟨,
22', Avdili A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Franklin M. ⚽,
39', Sifet B. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Chaves M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 3 - 0, Franklin M. ⚽,
66', Forsen D. ↓, Forss R. ↑,
68', Abonde J. ↓, Krak E. ↑,
71', Forsen J. ↓, Hansell A. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Hansell A. ⚽,
74', Chaves M. ↓, Siro J. ↑,
77', Siro J. 🟨,
83', Avdili A. ↓, Halilcevic M. ↑,
83', Eriksson Z. ↓, Kaarre M. ↑,
84', 5 - 0, Hansell A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JBK won 5.

JBK has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Närpes's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

JBK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, JBK is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that JBK will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, JBK won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 2.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, JBK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 2.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JBK
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
22.08.26	SJK Akatemia 2 - JBK	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	JBK - TP-47	4:0 ✺
07.08.26	Jaro 2 - JBK	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	JBK - Vaajakoski	4:0 ✺
25.07.26	JBK - VPS 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW
- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
22.08.26	Huima Urho - Närpes	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	TP-47 - Närpes	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Närpes - JS Hercules	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Närpes - Vaajakoski	2:3 ✺
15.07.26	GBK Kokkola - Närpes	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
07.07.26	JBK - Närpes	4:2
25.04.26	Närpes - JBK	0:1
10.07.25	Närpes - JBK	0:2
12.05.25	JBK - Närpes	4:1
07.09.24	JBK - Närpes	3:2
03.07.24	JBK - Närpes	2:4
28.04.24	Närpes - JBK	1:5

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