Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN

Date: 6 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku)


	TPS		KPV Kokkola

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5	Watch
	1.51	4	4.8
	1.5	4.2	5.5
	1.56	4.35	5.56
	1.47	3.9	5.8
	1.53	4.25	5.35
	1.52	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	4.09 ↑ (3.7)	5.29 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS
60.3%

Draw
22.4%

KPV Kokkola
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

24.5%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

23.7%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

KPV Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KPV Kokkola than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	7.7%	12.8%

TPS - KPV Kokkola Predictions

Users Predictions: TPS will win (31 of 39 users predict this - 79.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.82% – 92.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koponen J. (C) 2. Benga S. 5. Pakkanen R. 13. Muhammed U. B. 15. Lamgahez Y. 6. Karlsson J. 7. Rantanen D. 4. Kivikko M. 22. Hamalainen K. 9. Gero A. 17. Ronnberg L.	33. Lazarev S. (G) 21. Chantzopoulos C. (C) 4. Uusitalo S. 5. Mahlamaki S. 6. Kujasalo N. 11. Paananen J. 18. Valipakka V. 14. Kauppila M. 15. Makinen S. 9. Liukkonen J. 17. Gomes V.
Substitutes
20. Ali-Abubakar T. 28. Bostrom A. 14. Lakkamaki J. 23. Pippola T. 10. Riski Ri. 3. Sundman J. 30. Terava A. (G)	32. Ahokangas A. 2. Ihalainen J. 1. Seppa V. (G) 3. Sipola S. 29. Wegye W. 20. Ylimaki O.
Coaches
Laurikainen M.	Sund C.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches TPS won 1.

TPS is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

KPV is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match TPS is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's TPS to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 16 head-to-head matches TPS won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-15.

Including matches at home between the teams TPS won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS
Finnish Ykkonen
02.07.23	JäPS - TPS	1:2 ✺
28.06.23	TPS - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
22.06.23	JJK Jyväskylä - TPS	2:2 ✺
15.06.23	TPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1 ✺
08.06.23	TPS - KaPa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTW
- KPV Kokkola
Finnish Ykkonen
01.07.23	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:4 ✺
28.06.23	JJK Jyväskylä - KPV Kokkola	0:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
22.06.23	Ilves - KPV Kokkola	4:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
17.06.23	Ekenäs - KPV Kokkola	2:2 ✺
11.06.23	KPV Kokkola - KaPa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
22.04.23	KPV Kokkola - TPS	0:0
30.09.22	TPS - KPV Kokkola	2:2
25.08.22	KPV Kokkola - TPS	1:1
18.06.22	TPS - KPV Kokkola	5:0
16.07.21	TPS - KPV Kokkola	0:0
13.05.21	KPV Kokkola - TPS	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.10.19	KPV Kokkola - TPS	0:3

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