Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Tammisaari Keskuskenttä (Raseborg)


	Ekenäs		KPV Kokkola

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	5	Watch
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.62	3.75	4.9
	1.62	3.92	5.62
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.59	3.84	5.4
	1.6	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.94)	3.69 ↑ (3.51)	5.2 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
57.5%

Draw
24.9%

KPV Kokkola
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.9%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekenäs's performance.

KPV Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KPV Kokkola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekenäs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KPV Kokkola than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KPV Kokkola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Ekenäs - KPV Kokkola Predictions

Users Predictions: Ekenäs will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Almeida R. (G) 3. Esua J. 17. Manga T. 35. Leksell A. 29. Mohamed F. 8. Adu E. 15. Bjorklund A. 14. Lindholm S. (C) 31. Efimov S. 7. Pietsalo R. 22. Atarah A.	1. Seppa V. (G) 2. Ihalainen J. 90. Byskata P. 21. Chantzopoulos C. 5. Mahlamaki S. 8. Mannstrom S. (C) 6. Kujasalo N. 15. Makinen S. 17. Gomes V. 14. Kauppila M. 9. Liukkonen J.
Substitutes
27. Estlander O. 21. Fagerstrom T. 24. Kante A. 2. Lehtonen J. 71. Lima G. (G) 16. Metzner J. 33. Westerholm C.	32. Ahokangas A. 12. Curinga K. 33. Lazarev S. (G) 11. Paananen J. 4. Uusitalo S. 29. Wegye W. 20. Ylimaki O.
Coaches
Garcia Xatart G.	Sund C.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches EIF won 2.

EIF is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches KPV is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match EIF is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's EIF to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 17 head-to-head matches EIF won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-24.

Including matches at home between the teams EIF won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkonen
11.06.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
07.06.23	Ekenäs - HIFK	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	KaPa - Ekenäs	2:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
31.05.23	JäPS - Ekenäs	0:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
27.05.23	Ekenäs - JJK Jyväskylä	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWWW
- KPV Kokkola
Finnish Ykkonen
11.06.23	KPV Kokkola - KaPa	1:1 ✺
08.06.23	KPV Kokkola - Salon Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	SJK Akatemia - KPV Kokkola	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
31.05.23	Atlantis Helsinki - KPV Kokkola	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
27.05.23	KPV Kokkola - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
18.09.22	KPV Kokkola - Ekenäs	1:2
03.09.22	Ekenäs - KPV Kokkola	0:3
22.06.22	KPV Kokkola - Ekenäs	1:1
Finnish Ykkoscup
05.03.22	Ekenäs - KPV Kokkola	1:0
Finnish Ykkonen
15.09.21	KPV Kokkola - Ekenäs	2:1
11.08.21	Ekenäs - KPV Kokkola	1:1
12.09.20	Ekenäs - KPV Kokkola	2:0

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