Match Info

3. Liga - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportclub Arena (Verl)

Referee: Sambill L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 9
Germany	Magenta Sport, WDR Fernsehen
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Verl		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.3	Watch
	1.77	3.90	4.00
	2.12	3.5	2.95
	1.83	3.8	3.45
	1.74	4.24	3.87	Watch
	1.97	3.5	3.65
	1.94	3.67	3.56	Watch
	1.96	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.12)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	3.53 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verl
48.7%

Draw
25%

Fortuna Köln
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

25.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Verl's performance.

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Verl - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fortuna Köln will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortuna Köln (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fortuna Köln (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Fortuna Köln (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 1 - 25%). Fortuna Köln (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schlieck T. (G) 34. Berner J. 27. Vogler F. 5. Seidel N. 19. Kijewski N. 8. Waidner D. 6. Eze J. 17. Otto Y. 21. Clausen M. 20. Leipold A. 25. Heike T.	1. Winkler L. (G) 31. Telle N. 3. Fischer M. 15. Al-Azzawe D. 22. Afamefuna R. 11. Strauch G. 20. Stanilewicz A. 38. Broger B. 8. Majetic L. 7. Thier N. 30. Aigbekaen R.
Substitutes
2. Araoye R. . Cosar T. 7. Farouk A. 26. Foti A. 11. Kaube M. 30. Mesanovic A. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 18. Wessig F. 10. Yalcinkaya B.	18. Al Ghaddioui H. 19. Bornemann T. 5. Funger S. 10. Garcia R. . Heister F. 2. Krumme K. 16. Michelbrink J. 23. Savic D. 25. Zich B. (G)
Coaches
Shala O.	Mink M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Telle N. 🟨,
43', Majetic L. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Thier N. ↓, Heister F. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Aigbekaen R. ⚽, Broger B. (A),
64', Berner J. ↓, Kaube M. ↑,
64', Eze J. ↓, Yalcinkaya B. ↑,
71', Otto Y. 🟨,
74', Clausen M. ↓, Farouk A. ↑,
74', Otto Y. ↓, Mesanovic A. ↑,
79', Telle N. ↓, Funger S. ↑,
79', Aigbekaen R. ↓, Bornemann T. ↑,
86', Waidner D. ↓, Cosar T. ↑,
86', Broger B. ↓, Krumme K. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Bornemann T. ⚽, Krumme K. (A),
90', 1 - 2, Farouk A. ⚽, Seidel N. (A),
90+2', Al-Azzawe D. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Heike T. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Verl has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fortuna Köln is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fortuna Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Verl is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Fortuna Koln	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
12	Verl	7	3	1	3	10:13	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Verl - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.07%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Verl - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Verl - Duisburg	2:4 ✺
09.08.26	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	RB Leipzig - Verl	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Verl - Bremer SV	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Fortuna Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Fortuna Köln	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Fortuna Köln - Kickers Offenbach	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	VVV-Venlo - Fortuna Köln	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Eintracht Trier - Fortuna Köln	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
20.09.19	Fortuna Köln - Verl	0:2
15.03.14	Verl - Fortuna Köln	0:0
21.09.13	Fortuna Köln - Verl	4:1
02.03.13	Verl - Fortuna Köln	0:2

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