Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 21

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	TSV Havelse		Hamburger II

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.62	4.2	4.5
	1.58	4.15	4.09
	1.59	4.25	4.45
	1.55	4.2	4.4
	1.6	4.1	4.35
	1.62	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)	4.16 ↓ (4.25)	4.36 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Havelse
57.2%

Draw
21.9%

Hamburger II
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

21.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

22.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hamburger II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

TSV Havelse - Hamburger II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Aytun E. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Duker J. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Aytun E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
64', Bornschein L. 🟨,
69', 4 - 0, Paldino L. ⚽,
74', 5 - 0, Duker J. ⚽,
77', 5 - 1, Sillah O. ⚽,
89', 6 - 1, Ilic M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havelse won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Hamburg II have a series of home games.

In this match Havelse is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Havelse won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 30:28 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Havelse won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
17.11.24	TSV Havelse - Todesfelde	3:0 ✺
08.11.24	Werder Bremen II - TSV Havelse	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Oldenburg - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	TSV Havelse - Blau-Weiß Lohne	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	Kickers Emden - TSV Havelse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTLW
- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
16.11.24	Hamburger II - Jeddeloh	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Hamburger II - Bremer SV	5:3 ✺
02.11.24	Hamburger II - Drochtersen Assel	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	SC Weiche-08 - Hamburger II	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
18.08.24	Hamburger II - TSV Havelse	0:6
27.04.24	Hamburger II - TSV Havelse	3:2
29.10.23	TSV Havelse - Hamburger II	2:1
03.12.22	Hamburger II - TSV Havelse	2:1
07.08.22	TSV Havelse - Hamburger II	1:2
08.09.19	TSV Havelse - Hamburger II	3:2
18.04.19	TSV Havelse - Hamburger II	1:1

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