Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	TSV Havelse		Meppen

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.75	3.02
	2.04	3.56	3.05
	2.12	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.55)	3.6 ↓ (4.3)	3.02 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Havelse
44.3%

Draw
25.4%

Meppen
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

21.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

20.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TSV Havelse's form might have worsened.

Meppen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Meppen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TSV Havelse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Meppen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

TSV Havelse - Meppen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Muller R. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Wensing J. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Kolgeci B. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havelse won 2.

Recent matches Havelse is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Meppen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Havelse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Meppen have a series of home games.

Havelse will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Havelse won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:23 (average 2.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Havelse won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:8 (average 3.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
26.03.25	St. Pauli II - TSV Havelse	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	TSV Havelse - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Jeddeloh - TSV Havelse	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	TSV Havelse - Bremer SV	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Drochtersen Assel - TSV Havelse	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWWT
- SV Meppen
German Regionalliga North
22.03.25	Meppen - Todesfelde	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Lübeck - Meppen	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Meppen - Werder Bremen II	3:3 ✺
28.02.25	Meppen - Jeddeloh	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Meppen - Oldenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
28.09.24	Meppen - TSV Havelse	4:0
13.04.24	Meppen - TSV Havelse	4:1
15.10.23	TSV Havelse - Meppen	4:2
German 3 Bundesliga
05.02.22	TSV Havelse - Meppen	3:0
30.08.21	Meppen - TSV Havelse	1:0
German Regionalliga North
25.03.17	Meppen - TSV Havelse	2:0
02.10.16	TSV Havelse - Meppen	2:2

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